March, 2015 &
April 2015 Expected DA/DR will be 119% with effect from July, 2015, it is
now confirmed with 2 points increase in May, 2015 CPI-IW. As per press
release issued on today by Labour Bureau the All India Consumer Price Index for
Industrial Worker for the month May, 2015 increased by 2 points and pegged at 256. The 6% increase in
future DA/DR from July, 2015 i.e. DA/DR will be 119% from July, 2015 is more
confirm with this increase.
A 6 points increase in June, 2015 CPI-IW Index is needed to increase the above
said calculation in expected DA/DR to 120% and the other side a 8 point decline
in June, 2015 CPI-IW Index is needed to decrease the expected DA/DR to 118%.
The 6 points increase and 8 point decrease is future CPI-IW index is not near to
possibility.
Therefore, Dearness Allowance for Central Government Staff and Dearness Relief
for Pensioners with effect from July, 2015 is likely to increase 6% and to be
119% the present DA/DR is 113%. The following
3 tables are easy to establish the Expected DA/DR from July, 2015. Readers are
again requested not to take it final. Further, the estimation of two installment of DA/DR from Jul-2015 is important for
projected pay and allowances in 7th CPC.
Table-1: 119% DA/DR from July, 2015 when June AICPIN is stationary & with
increase upto 5 points and decline upto 7 points.
Expect- ation |
Increase/ Decrease Index |
Month | Base Year 2001 = 100 |
Total of 12 Months |
Twelve monthly Average |
% increase over 115.76 for DA |
DA announced or will be announced |
DA/DR from Dec, 2015 | 0 | Dec,14 | 253 | 2963 | 246.92 | 113.30% | 113% |
Jan+AICPIN | 1 | Jan,15 | 254 | 2980 | 248.33 | 114.52% | 119% |
Feb+AICPIN | -1 | Feb,15 | 253 | 2995 | 249.58 | 115.60% | |
Mar+AICPIN | 1 | Mar,15 | 254 | 3010 | 250.83 | 116.68% | |
Apr+AICPIN | 2 | Apr,15 | 256 | 3024 | 252.00 | 117.69% | |
May+AICPIN | 2 | May,15 | 258 | 3038 | 253.17 | 118.70% | |
Decline 7 pt. | -7 | Jun,15 | 251 |
3043 | 253.58 | 119.06% | |
Stationary | 0 | 258 | 3050 | 254.17 | 119.56% | ||
Increase 5 pt. | 5 | 263 | 3055 | 254.58 | 119.92% | ||
Expected DA/DR from July-2015 |
Table 2: DA/DR will be 120% w.e.f. July, 2015 when AICPIN of June, 2015 will
increase to 6 points
Expect- ation |
Increase/ Decrease Index |
Month | Base Year 2001 = 100 |
Total of 12 Months |
Twelve monthly Average |
% increase over 115.76 for DA |
DA announced or will be announced |
Jan+AICPIN | 1 | Jan,15 | 254 | 2980 | 248.33 | 114.52% | 120% |
Feb+AICPIN | -1 | Feb,15 | 253 | 2995 | 249.58 | 115.60% | |
Mar+AICPIN | 1 | Mar,15 | 254 | 3010 | 250.83 | 116.68% | |
Apr+AICPIN | 2 | Apr,15 | 256 | 3024 | 252.00 | 117.69% | |
May+AICPIN | 2 | May,15 | 258 | 3038 | 253.17 | 118.70% | |
6 Points increase in June AICPIN |
6 | Jun,15 | 246 | 3056 | 254.67 | 120.00% | |
Expected DA/DR from July-2015 |
when AICPIN of June, 2015 will decrease to 8 points
Expect- ation |
Increase/ Decrease Index |
Month | Base Year 2001 = 100 |
Total of 12 Months |
Twelve monthly Average |
% increase over 115.76 for DA |
DA announced or will be announced |
Jan+AICPIN | 1 | Jan,15 | 254 | 2980 | 248.33 | 114.52% | 118% |
Feb+AICPIN | -1 | Feb,15 | 253 | 2995 | 249.58 | 115.60% | |
Mar+AICPIN | 1 | Mar,15 | 254 | 3010 | 250.83 | 116.68% | |
Apr+AICPIN | 2 | Apr,15 | 256 | 3024 | 252.00 | 117.69% | |
May+AICPIN | 2 | May,15 | 258 | 3038 | 253.17 | 118.70% | |
8 point decline in June Index |
-8 | Jun,15 | 250 | 3042 | 253.50 | 118.99% | |
Expected DA/DR from July-2015 |
You may also download/save the excel sheet for self calculation. The link for excel sheet is given below:
DOWNLOAD: EXCEL FILE FOR EXPECTED DEARNESS CALCULATION TO CALCULATE YOURSELF [click on File-Menu & download]
Press Release of AICPIN for May 2015 โ 2 Points increase and pegged at 258:-
Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – May, 2015
http://labourbureau.nic.in/Press_Note_Eng_May_2015.pdf
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119% DA-DR from July, 2015 confirmed after 2 points increase in May, 2015 AICPINhttps://www.staffnews.in/2015/06/119-da-dr-from-july-2015-confirmed.html
Posted by Central Government Employee News & Tools on Tuesday, 30 June 2015
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