Expectation of DA/DR from July, 2015 on the basis of AICPIN of March, 2015 is
now more clear. The 1 point increase in March, 2015 AICPIN after 1 point
decline in
Feb-2015 required the rest three month’s AICPIN to release for the confirm
DA/DR from July-2015. Only one point increase in ACPIN for first half of
current half-yearly and the second half is awaited. From the given table
is expected to DA/DR for month of July-2015 will stand for 5% increase i.e.
118. Small variation in AICPIN of the 2nd half of current half year may
increase the expectation by 1% i.e. 119%. And Large variation in AICPIN
may decrease the expected DA/DR from July, 2015 to 117%. The following
table also giving the probability 119% DA/DR from July-2015. Readers are requested not to take it final and study the following table. Further, the estimation of two installment of DA/DR from Jan-2015 & Jul-2015 is important for
projected pay and allowances in 7th CPC.
now more clear. The 1 point increase in March, 2015 AICPIN after 1 point
decline in
Feb-2015 required the rest three month’s AICPIN to release for the confirm
DA/DR from July-2015. Only one point increase in ACPIN for first half of
current half-yearly and the second half is awaited. From the given table
is expected to DA/DR for month of July-2015 will stand for 5% increase i.e.
118. Small variation in AICPIN of the 2nd half of current half year may
increase the expectation by 1% i.e. 119%. And Large variation in AICPIN
may decrease the expected DA/DR from July, 2015 to 117%. The following
table also giving the probability 119% DA/DR from July-2015. Readers are requested not to take it final and study the following table. Further, the estimation of two installment of DA/DR from Jan-2015 & Jul-2015 is important for
projected pay and allowances in 7th CPC.
Following table only showing the effect of Mar-2015 months’ AICPIN:
Expect- ation |
Increase/ Decrease Index |
Month | Base Year 2001 = 100 |
Total of 12 Months |
Twelve monthly Average |
% increase over 115.76 for DA |
DA announced or will be announced |
2 | Jun,14 | 246 | 2879 | 239.92 | 107.25% | 107% | |
Order issued for 6% increase in Dearness Allowance |
6 | Jul,14 | 252 | 2896 | 241.33 | 108.48% | 113% |
1 | Aug,14 | 253 | 2912 | 242.67 | 109.63% | ||
0 | Sep,14 | 253 | 2927 | 243.92 | 110.71% | ||
0 | Oct,14 | 253 | 2939 | 244.92 | 111.57% | ||
0 | Nov,14 | 253 | 2949 | 245.75 | 112.29% | ||
0 | Dec,14 | 253 | 2963 | 246.92 | 113.30% | ||
Jan+AICPIN |
1 | Jan,15 | 254 | 2980 | 248.33 | 114.52% | 118% |
Feb+AICPIN |
-1 | Feb,15 | 253 | 2995 | 249.58 | 115.60% | |
Mar+AICPIN | 1 | Mar,15 | 254 | 3010 | 250.83 | 116.68% | |
Expectation No increase in AICPIN in next 3 month |
0 | Apr,15 | 254 | 3022 | 251.83 | 117.55% | |
0 | May,15 | 254 | 3032 | 252.67 | 118.27% | ||
0 | Jun,15 | 254 | 3040 | 253.33 | 118.84% | ||
Expected DA/DR from July-2015 |
|||||||
6 point increase in AICPIN in next 3 month |
2 | Apr,15 | 256 | 3024 | 252.00 | 117.69% | 119% |
2 | May,15 | 258 | 3038 | 253.17 | 118.70% | ||
2 | Jun,15 | 260 | 3052 | 254.33 | 119.71% | ||
Expected DA/DR from July-2015 |
|||||||
3 points increase in AICPIN in next 3 month |
1 | Apr,15 | 255 | 3023 | 251.92 | 117.62% | 119% |
1 | May,15 | 256 | 3035 | 252.92 | 118.48% | ||
1 | Jun,15 | 257 | 3046 | 253.83 | 119.28% | ||
Expected DA/DR from July-2015 |
|||||||
3 points decline in AICPIN in next 3 month |
-1 | Apr,15 | 253 | 3021 | 251.75 | 117.48% | 118% |
-1 | May,15 | 252 | 3029 | 252.42 | 118.05% | ||
-1 | Jun,15 | 251 | 3034 | 252.83 | 118.41% | ||
Expected DA/DR from July-2015 |
|||||||
6 points decline in AICPIN in next 3 month |
-2 | Apr,15 | 252 | 3020 | 251.67 | 117.40% | 117% |
-2 | May,15 | 250 | 3026 | 252.17 | 117.84% | ||
-2 | Jun,15 | 248 | 3028 | 252.33 | 117.98% | ||
Expected DA/DR from July-2015 |
You may also download/save the excel sheet for self calculation. The link for excel sheet is given below:
DOWNLOAD: EXCEL FILE FOR EXPECTED DEARNESS CALCULATION TO CALCULATE YOURSELF [click on File-Menu & download]
Press Release of AICPIN for March 2015 โ 1 Points increase and stands at 254:-
No. 5/1/2015- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-17 1004
DATED: 30th April, 2015
Press Release
Consumer Price index for industrial Workers (CPI-IW) โ March, 2015
The All-India CPI-IW for March, 2015 increased by 1 point and pegged at 254 (two
hundred and fifty four). On I -month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.40
per cent between February, 2015 and March, 2015 when compared with the increase
of (+) 0.42 per cent between the same two months a year ago.
hundred and fifty four). On I -month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.40
per cent between February, 2015 and March, 2015 when compared with the increase
of (+) 0.42 per cent between the same two months a year ago.
The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group
contributing (+) 0.57 percentage points to the total change. At item level,
Wheat, Arhar Dal, Goat Meat, Fish Fresh. Milk (Buffalo & Cow), Vegetable & Fruit
items, Tea (Readymade), Firewood. Doctorโs Fee, Private Tuition Fee, Petrol,
Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this
increase was restricted by Rice, Eggs (Hen). Onion, Potato, Sugar, Electricity
Charges, FLower/Flower Garlands. etc.. putting downward pressure on the index.
contributing (+) 0.57 percentage points to the total change. At item level,
Wheat, Arhar Dal, Goat Meat, Fish Fresh. Milk (Buffalo & Cow), Vegetable & Fruit
items, Tea (Readymade), Firewood. Doctorโs Fee, Private Tuition Fee, Petrol,
Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this
increase was restricted by Rice, Eggs (Hen). Onion, Potato, Sugar, Electricity
Charges, FLower/Flower Garlands. etc.. putting downward pressure on the index.
The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 6.28 per cent for
March. 2015 as compared to 6.30 per cent for the previous month and 6.70 percent
during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food
inflation stood at 6.98 per cent against 7.42 per cent of the previous month and
7.50 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.
March. 2015 as compared to 6.30 per cent for the previous month and 6.70 percent
during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food
inflation stood at 6.98 per cent against 7.42 per cent of the previous month and
7.50 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.
At centre level, Goa and Ghaziabad reported the highest increase of 10 points
each followed by Bhavnagar (7 points), Lucknow (5 points), Indore, Varanasi and
Chhindwara (4 points each). Among others, 3 points increase was observed in 10
centres, 2 points in 4 centres and 1 point in 21 centres. On the contrary.
Tiruchirapally centre recorded a maximum decrease of 12 points followed by
Belgaum (4 points) and Doom Dooma Tinsukia (3 points). Among others, 2 points
decrease was observed in 5 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. Rest of the 18
centresโ indices remained stationary.
each followed by Bhavnagar (7 points), Lucknow (5 points), Indore, Varanasi and
Chhindwara (4 points each). Among others, 3 points increase was observed in 10
centres, 2 points in 4 centres and 1 point in 21 centres. On the contrary.
Tiruchirapally centre recorded a maximum decrease of 12 points followed by
Belgaum (4 points) and Doom Dooma Tinsukia (3 points). Among others, 2 points
decrease was observed in 5 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. Rest of the 18
centresโ indices remained stationary.
The indices of 37 centres are above All India Index and other 39 centres indices
are below national average. The index of Vishakhapathnam and Chhindwara centres
remained at par with All-India index. The next index of CPI-1W for the month of
April, 2015 will be released on Friday, 29th May. 2015. The same will also be
available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov.in
are below national average. The index of Vishakhapathnam and Chhindwara centres
remained at par with All-India index. The next index of CPI-1W for the month of
April, 2015 will be released on Friday, 29th May. 2015. The same will also be
available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov.in
S.S.NEGI
DIRECTOR
Source: labourbureau.nic.in/press%20note%20eng%20Mar2015.pdf
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