Two expectation gives 72% Dearness Allowance (DA) from July 2012 as illustrated below:
First Expectation:
It is presumed that AICPIN will stand constant i.e. 205 for May, 2012 and June 2012:
Expected Dearness Allowance DA for July, 2012 calculated as under:
Dearness Allowance = (Avg of AICPI for the past 12 months – 115.76)*100/115.76
|
Month
|
Base Year 2001 = 100
|
Total of 12 Months
|
Twelve monthly
Average |
% increase over
115.76 for DA |
DA announced or will
be announced |
|
Aug-11
|
194
|
2234
|
186.17
|
60.82%
|
65%
|
|
Sep-11
|
197
|
2252
|
187.67
|
62.12%
|
|
|
Oct-11
|
198
|
2269
|
189.08
|
63.34%
|
|
|
Nov-11
|
199
|
2286
|
190.50
|
64.56%
|
|
|
Dec-11
|
197
|
2298
|
191.50
|
65.43%
|
|
|
Jan-12
|
198
|
2308
|
192.33
|
66.15%
|
|
|
Feb-12
|
199
|
2322
|
193.50
|
67.16%
|
72%
|
|
Mar-12
|
201
|
2338
|
194.83
|
68.31%
|
|
|
Apr-12
|
205
|
2357
|
196.42
|
69.68%
|
|
|
May-12
|
205
|
2375
|
197.92
|
70.97%
|
|
|
Jun-12
|
205
|
2391
|
199.25
|
72.12%
|
|
|
Jul-12
|
Expected DA from Jul-2012
|
||||
Second Expectation:
It is presumed that AICPIN will increased maximum by 4 (no chance) i.e. 209 for May, 2012 and 213 for June 2012:
Expected Dearness Allowance DA for July, 2012 calculated as under:
Dearness Allowance = (Avg of AICPI for the past 12 months – 115.76)*100/115.76
|
Month
|
Base Year 2001 = 100
|
Total of 12 Months
|
Twelve monthly
Average |
% increase over
115.76 for DA |
DA announced or will
be announced |
|
Aug-11
|
194
|
2234
|
186.17
|
60.82%
|
65%
|
|
Sep-11
|
197
|
2252
|
187.67
|
62.12%
|
|
|
Oct-11
|
198
|
2269
|
189.08
|
63.34%
|
|
|
Nov-11
|
199
|
2286
|
190.50
|
64.56%
|
|
|
Dec-11
|
197
|
2298
|
191.50
|
65.43%
|
|
|
Jan-12
|
198
|
2308
|
192.33
|
66.15%
|
|
|
Feb-12
|
199
|
2322
|
193.50
|
67.16%
|
72%
|
|
Mar-12
|
201
|
2338
|
194.83
|
68.31%
|
|
|
Apr-12
|
205
|
2357
|
196.42
|
69.68%
|
|
|
May-12
|
209
|
2379
|
198.25
|
71.26%
|
|
|
Jun-12
|
213
|
2403
|
200.25
|
72.99%
|
|
|
Jul-12
|
Expected DA from Jul-2012
|
||||
Now it is clear that Expected DA will be 72% means 7% increase in Dearness allowance from July-2012.
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