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Expected DA from July 2014: AICPIN for March 2014

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Estimation of Dearness Allowance/Dearness Relief expected from July, 2014 on the basis of March, 2014 AICPIN is now giving some clear picture. After 1 points increase in last month All India Consumer Price Index Number [http://labourbureau.nic.in/indtab.html] for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) on base 2001=100 for the month of March, 2014 also increased by 1 points and pegged at 239 (two hundred and thirty Nine).  This 1 point increase in Index also increased expectation of future DA/DR from 5-6 percent to 6-7 percent.  Next months’ AICPIN will give confirm picture of expected DA/DR from July, 2014.  Expectation of DA/DR for July, 2014 may understood with table is given below:-

Expectation Increase/
Decrease
Index
Month Base
Year
2001
= 100
Total
of 12
Months
Twelve
monthly
Average
%
increase
over
115.76
for   DA
DA
announced
or will
be
announced
3 Jun,13 231 2648 220.67 90.62%
90%
DA from
Jan, 2014
Orders

DR Order

4 Jul,13 235 2671 222.58 92.28%
2 Aug,13 237 2694 224.50 93.94%
1 Sep,13 238 2717 226.42 95.59%
3 Oct,13 241 2741 228.42 97.32%
2 Nov,13 243 2766 230.50 99.12%
-4 Dec,13 239 2786 232.17 100.56% 100%

Jan+AICPIN
-2 Jan,14 237 2802 233.50 101.71%

Feb+AICPIN
1 Feb,14 238 2817 234.75 102.79%
Mar+AICPIN 1 Mar,14 239 2832 236.00 103.87%
1st
Expectation
for 6%
0 Apr,14 239 2845 237.08 104.81% 106%
0 May,14 239 2856 238.00 105.60%
0 Jun,14 239 2864 238.67 106.17%
Expected DA/DR from July, 2014
2nd
Expectation
for 6%
1 Apr,14 240 2846 237.17 104.88% 106%
1 May,14 241 2859 238.25 105.81%
1 Jun,14 242 2870 239.17 106.61%
Expected DA/DR from July, 2014
2nd
Expectation
for 7%
2 Apr,14 241 2847 237.25 104.95% 107%
2 May,14 243 2862 238.50 106.03%
2 Jun,14 245 2876 239.67 107.04%
Expected DA/DR from July, 2014

You may also download/save the excel sheet for self calculation.  The link for excel sheet is given below:

DOWNLOAD: EXCEL FILE FOR EXPECTED DEARNESS CALCULATION TO CALCULATE YOURSELF [click on File-Menu & download]

PIB Release of CPI-IW for March, 2014:

Press Information Bureau
Government of India
Ministry of Labour & Employment
30-April-2014 19:02 IST

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW)- March 2014

According to a press release issued by the Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour & Employment the All-India CPI-IW for March, 2014 increased by 1 points and pegged at 239 (two hundred and thirty nine). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by 0.42 per cent between February, 2014 and March, 2014 compared with the rise of 0.45 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The largest upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food Group contributing 0.99 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Wheat, Goat Meat, Milk (Buffalo), Vegetables and Fruit items, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted to some extent by Groundnut Oil, Fish Fresh, Poultry, Eggs (Hen), Onion, etc. putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 6.70 per cent for March, 2014, as compared to 6.73 per cent for the previous month and 11.44 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 7.50 per cent against 13.21 per cent of the previous month and 14.98 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Bokaro recorded the highest increase of 8 points each followed by Godavarikhani & Chhindwada (7 Points each), Rangapara Tezpur (6 points) and Kanpur & Durgapur (5 points each). Among others, 4 points rise was registered in 7 centres, 3 points in 6 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and 1 points in 22 centres. On the contrary, Quilon and Guwahati reported a decline of 5 points each followed by Coimbatore (3 points), 2 points in 3centres and 1 point in 6 centres. Indices of 16 centres observed no change.

The indices of 36 centres are above All-India Index and other 41 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Tiruchirapally centre remained at par with all-India index.

The next index of CPI-IW for the month of April, 2014 will be released on Friday, 30 May, 2014. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov.in.

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