Expected DA-DR from Jan, 2015: Probability to be 113% with 6% increase

Expect- ation	Increase/ Decrease Index	Month	Base Year 2001 = 100	Total of 12 Months	Twelve monthly Average	% increase over 115.76 for   DA	DA announced or will be announced
	-4	Dec,13	239	2786	232.17	100.56%	100%
. DA/DR from July, 2014	-2	Jan,14	237	2802	233.50	101.71%
	1	Feb,14	238	2817	234.75	102.79%
	1	Mar,14	239	2832	236.00	103.87%
	3	Apr,14	242	2848	237.33	105.02%
	2	May,14	244	2864	238.67	106.17%
	2	Jun,14	246	2879	239.92	107.25%	107%
JUL+AICPIN	6	Jul,14	252	2896	241.33	108.48%	112%
Aug+AICPIN	1	Aug,14	253	2912	242.67	109.63%
Sep+AICPIN	0	Sep,14	253	2927	243.92	110.71%
No 3 point decline in next 3 month
	-1	Oct,14	252	2938	244.83	111.50%
	-1	Nov,14	251	2946	245.50	112.08%
	-1	Dec,14	250	2957	246.42	112.87%
	Expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015
No increase in Index in next three months	0	Oct,14	253	2939	244.92	111.57%	113%
	0	Nov,14	253	2949	245.75	112.29%
	0	Dec,14	253	2963	246.92	113.30%
	Expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015
1 Point increase in every month or total 3 points	1	Oct,14	254	2940	245.00	111.64%	113%
	1	Nov,14	255	2952	246.00	112.51%
	1	Dec,14	256	2969	247.42	113.73%
	Expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015
2 Points increase in every month or total 6 points	2	Oct,14	255	2941	245.08	111.72%	114%
	2	Nov,14	257	2955	246.25	112.72%
	2	Dec,14	259	2975	247.92	114.16%
	Expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015

You may also download/save the excel sheet for self calculation.  The link for excel sheet is given below:

DOWNLOAD: EXCEL FILE FOR EXPECTED DEARNESS CALCULATION TO CALCULATE YOURSELF [click on File-Menu & download]

No. 5/1/2014- CPI

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA

MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT

LABOUR BUREAU

DATED: the Slst October, 2014

Press Release

The All-lndia CPI-1W for September, 2014 remained stationary at 253 (two hundred and fifty three). On 1-month percentage change, it remained static between August, 2014 and September, 2014 when compared with the rise of 0.42 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The largest downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.04 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken). Chillies Green, Ginger, Onion, Tomato, Brinjal, French Beans, Lady’s Finger, Apple, Sugar, Medicine (Allopathic), Petrol, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was restricted to some extent by Rice, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Potato, Cauliflower, Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Bidi, Cigarette, Electricity Charges, Cinema Charges, Toilet Soap, Tailoring charges, etc., putting upward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 6.30 per cent for September, 2014 as compared to 6.75 per cent for the previous month and 10.70 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 6.46 per cent against 7.63 per cent of the previous month and 13.36 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Goa reported a decrease of 10 points followed by Nagpur (5 points). Among others, 4 points fall was observed in 6 centres, 3 points in 4 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and 1 point in 19 centres. On the contrary, Tripura recorded the maximum increase of 6 points followed by Lucknow & Jalpaiguri (4 points each) and Rourkela & Rangapara-Tezpur (3 points each), Among others, 2 points rise was registered in 8 centres and 1 point in 12 centres. Rest of the 13 centres“ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 37_ centres are above and other 41 centres” indices are below national average.

sd/-

(S. N EGI)

DIRECTOR